Can I retire at age 48 with 1,270,000?

Use the below retirement simulation to view the chances of a successful retirement.
Confused? Try the simple retirement calculator
About Your Retirement ?
Current Age
Retirement Age
Current Savings $
Annual Deposits $
Annual Withdrawals $
Stock market crash:
Portfolio ?
% in Stocks:
% in Bonds:
% in Cash:
Modify Stock Returns:
0%
Modify Bond Returns:
0%
Modify Cash Returns:
0%
Modify Inflation:
0%
How much money do I need to retire?

This retirement calculator runs simulations based on past data from the S&P 500, 10 Year Treasury Bond, 3 month T-Bill, and US inflation. For each year of each simulation, a random return and inflation amount is chosen.

How to use: Enter your current age and the age when you retire. Then enter your current savings, the amount that you can save annually before you retire, and the amount that you plan to withdraw after retirement. Your annual deposits and withdrawals take inflation into account. For example, if you need $50,000 to live on in retirement using today's dollars, we will automatically take into account the cost of living for your retirement years. The same is true for your annual deposits. Next, decide if you'd like to simulate a stock market crash.

In the portfolio section, choose the makeup of your portfolio with stocks, bonds, and cash. Cash assumes that your money is stored in a savings account. You can then alter the future returns and inflation. For example, if the market has historically returned about 10%, but you think the future will be worse, modify the stock returns by -3%, and the future returns will average out to 7%. Investment fees can also lower stock market returns. Many index funds and ETFs offer extremely low fees and expenses.

Many people receive income in retirement, such as social security, pension plans, part time jobs, annuities, and other benefits. This would allow you to take out smaller distributions every year. Please note that taxes must also be considered, but are not used in this simulation. A 401k, Roth IRA, and Traditional IRA are taxed differently than a standard investment account, as are dividends.

Note: This assumes that the future is at least somewhat like the past. In reality, anything could happen. The Soviet Union collapsed, Japan's Nikkei Index is still well below its 1989 peak. Numerous other markets have changed drastically and never recovered. However, this online tool is helpful in retirement planning and estimating how much you might need for retirement, especially those hoping to retire early. We recommend receiving advice from a financial planner.

Want to retire with $1,270,000?

Depending on your rate of return and investment timeframe, you'll need to save this amount every month.
2%4%6%8%10%15.5%
1 years$104,875$103,941$103,030$102,140$101,272$98,984
2 years$51,919$50,952$50,014$49,106$48,225$45,932
3 years$34,269$33,297$32,363$31,463$30,596$28,370
4 years$25,445$24,477$23,552$22,667$21,821$19,679
5 years$20,153$19,190$18,277$17,410$16,588$14,536
6 years$16,625$15,670$14,771$13,923$13,126$11,166
7 years$14,107$13,160$12,274$11,447$10,675$8,807
8 years$12,219$11,281$10,410$9,603$8,856$7,080
9 years$10,751$9,822$8,966$8,179$7,458$5,772
10 years$9,578$8,657$7,817$7,051$6,354$4,757
11 years$8,618$7,707$6,882$6,136$5,465$3,954
12 years$7,819$6,918$6,107$5,382$4,736$3,309
13 years$7,144$6,251$5,456$4,752$4,130$2,785
14 years$6,565$5,682$4,903$4,218$3,620$2,354
15 years$6,064$5,191$4,426$3,762$3,187$1,997
16 years$5,627$4,763$4,013$3,368$2,817$1,699
17 years$5,241$4,386$3,652$3,026$2,498$1,449
18 years$4,898$4,053$3,334$2,727$2,221$1,239
19 years$4,592$3,756$3,052$2,464$1,980$1,061
20 years$4,316$3,491$2,801$2,232$1,768$911
21 years$4,068$3,251$2,576$2,026$1,582$782
22 years$3,842$3,035$2,374$1,842$1,418$673
23 years$3,636$2,839$2,192$1,677$1,273$579
24 years$3,447$2,660$2,028$1,530$1,144$499
25 years$3,274$2,496$1,878$1,397$1,030$430
26 years$3,115$2,346$1,742$1,277$928$371
27 years$2,967$2,208$1,617$1,169$836$320
28 years$2,831$2,080$1,503$1,071$755$276
29 years$2,704$1,962$1,399$982$681$239
30 years$2,585$1,853$1,303$902$616$206
31 years$2,475$1,752$1,215$828$557$178
32 years$2,371$1,658$1,134$761$503$154
33 years$2,274$1,570$1,058$700$456$133
34 years$2,183$1,488$989$644$413$115
35 years$2,098$1,411$925$593$374$100
36 years$2,017$1,339$865$546$339$86
37 years$1,941$1,272$810$503$307$75
38 years$1,869$1,209$758$464$278$65
39 years$1,801$1,150$710$427$252$56
40 years$1,736$1,094$666$394$229$48
41 years$1,675$1,041$624$364$208$42
42 years$1,617$992$586$336$188$36
43 years$1,562$945$549$310$171$31
44 years$1,509$901$516$286$155$27
45 years$1,459$859$484$264$141$23
46 years$1,411$819$455$244$128$20
47 years$1,365$782$427$226$116$18
48 years$1,322$746$402$208$105$15
49 years$1,280$713$377$193$96$13
50 years$1,240$681$355$178$87$11

Sample Expected Returns by Investment Class

How long will my money last in retirement? Person retiring at age 48 starting with $1,270,000, adding $6,660 every year, while hoping to spend $25,547 every year in retirement. These numbers increase with inflation.
Reality usually performs much different than the expected returns. This uses historical averages, but anything can happen. In general, riskier investments have greater returns on average, but more volatility in the short term.
Age Total: 100% Stocks Total: 100% Bonds Total: 100% Cash Total: 82/6/12 Blend
47$1,270,000$1,270,000$1,270,000$1,270,000
48$1,406,410$1,339,100$1,319,415$1,518,183
49$1,522,682$1,377,534$1,336,433$1,630,865
50$1,649,957$1,416,995$1,353,166$1,750,513
51$1,789,332$1,457,507$1,369,576$1,881,122
52$1,942,011$1,499,092$1,385,624$2,023,780
53$2,109,324$1,541,776$1,401,271$2,179,683
54$2,292,734$1,585,581$1,416,472$2,350,149
55$2,493,852$1,630,534$1,431,183$2,536,632
56$2,714,452$1,676,657$1,445,355$2,740,729
57$2,956,490$1,723,977$1,458,938$2,964,204
58$3,222,119$1,772,518$1,471,879$3,208,996
59$3,513,709$1,822,306$1,484,121$3,477,243
60$3,833,874$1,873,366$1,495,606$3,771,301
61$4,185,492$1,925,724$1,506,271$4,093,764
62$4,571,732$1,979,404$1,516,051$4,447,490
63$4,996,088$2,034,434$1,524,878$4,835,629
64$5,462,406$2,090,838$1,532,678$5,261,650
65$5,974,925$2,148,643$1,539,377$5,729,375
66$6,538,315$2,207,874$1,544,893$6,243,016
67$7,157,719$2,268,556$1,549,144$6,807,213
68$7,838,807$2,330,716$1,552,040$7,427,078
69$8,587,822$2,394,378$1,553,490$8,108,245
70$9,411,645$2,459,567$1,553,397$8,856,919
71$10,317,855$2,526,308$1,551,658$9,679,941
72$11,314,804$2,594,625$1,548,167$10,584,845
73$12,411,695$2,664,543$1,542,812$11,579,934
74$13,618,667$2,736,084$1,535,475$12,674,358
75$14,946,891$2,809,272$1,526,033$13,878,198
76$16,408,675$2,884,128$1,514,356$15,202,562
77$18,017,584$2,960,674$1,500,311$16,659,691
78$19,788,560$3,038,930$1,483,754$18,263,074
79$21,738,072$3,118,916$1,464,539$20,027,572
80$23,884,263$3,200,650$1,442,508$21,969,565
81$26,247,125$3,284,150$1,417,500$24,107,099
82$28,848,690$3,369,431$1,389,344$26,460,062
83$31,713,232$3,456,509$1,357,863$29,050,369
84$34,867,499$3,545,395$1,322,868$31,902,168
85$38,340,966$3,636,102$1,284,167$35,042,071
86$42,166,112$3,728,638$1,241,554$38,499,402
87$46,378,725$3,823,011$1,194,816$42,306,475
88$51,018,242$3,919,226$1,143,729$46,498,901
89$56,128,120$4,017,286$1,088,062$51,115,919
90$61,756,246$4,117,189$1,027,569$56,200,772
91$67,955,386$4,218,935$961,995$61,801,111
92$74,783,688$4,322,516$891,075$67,969,448
93$82,305,229$4,427,923$814,531$74,763,648
94$90,590,615$4,535,144$732,070$82,247,480
95$99,717,653$4,644,162$643,390$90,491,213
96$109,772,084$4,754,956$548,173$99,572,286
97$120,848,388$4,867,500$446,089$109,576,034
98$133,050,680$4,981,765$336,790$120,596,494
99$146,493,694$5,097,715$219,916$132,737,296
100$161,303,857$5,215,310$95,090$146,112,639