Can I retire at age 54 with 4,900,000?

Use the below retirement simulation to view the chances of a successful retirement.
About Your Retirement ?
Current Age
Retirement Age
Current Savings $
Annual Deposits $
Annual Withdrawals $
Stock market crash:
Portfolio ?
% in Stocks:
% in Bonds:
% in Cash:
Modify Stock Returns:
0%
Modify Bond Returns:
0%
Modify Cash Returns:
0%
Modify Inflation:
0%
How much money do I need to retire?

This retirement calculator runs simulations based on past data from the S&P 500, 10 Year Treasury Bond, 3 month T-Bill, and US inflation. For each year of each simulation, a random return and inflation amount is chosen.

How to use: Enter your current age and the age when you retire. Then enter your current savings, the amount that you can save annually before you retire, and the amount that you plan to withdraw after retirement. Your annual deposits and withdrawals take inflation into account. For example, if you need $50,000 to live on in retirement using today's dollars, we will automatically take into account the cost of living for your retirement years. The same is true for your annual deposits. Next, decide if you'd like to simulate a stock market crash.

In the portfolio section, choose the makeup of your portfolio with stocks, bonds, and cash. Cash assumes that your money is stored in a savings account. You can then alter the future returns and inflation. For example, if the market has historically returned about 10%, but you think the future will be worse, modify the stock returns by -3%, and the future returns will average out to 7%. Investment fees can also lower stock market returns. Many index funds and ETFs offer extremely low fees and expenses.

Many people receive income in retirement, such as social security, pension plans, part time jobs, annuities, and other benefits. This would allow you to take out smaller distributions every year. Please note that taxes must also be considered, but are not used in this simulation. A 401k, Roth IRA, and Traditional IRA are taxed differently than a standard investment account, as are dividends.

Note: This assumes that the future is at least somewhat like the past. In reality, anything could happen. The Soviet Union collapsed, Japan's Nikkei Index is still well below its 1989 peak. Numerous other markets have changed drastically and never recovered. However, this online tool is helpful in retirement planning and estimating how much you might need for retirement, especially those hoping to retire early. We recommend receiving advice from a financial planner.

Want to retire with $4,900,000?

Depending on your rate of return and investment timeframe, you'll need to save this amount every month.
2%4%6%8%10%19.6%
1 years$404,637$401,033$397,517$394,084$390,733$375,675
2 years$200,316$196,585$192,969$189,464$186,063$171,072
3 years$132,217$128,470$124,864$121,391$118,046$103,594
4 years$98,175$94,439$90,869$87,456$84,192$70,388
5 years$77,754$74,042$70,518$67,174$64,001$50,882
6 years$64,145$60,461$56,989$53,720$50,642$38,216
7 years$54,429$50,775$47,358$44,166$41,185$29,448
8 years$47,144$43,523$40,163$37,050$34,167$23,108
9 years$41,482$37,895$34,593$31,558$28,774$18,376
10 years$36,954$33,402$30,159$27,203$24,517$14,761
11 years$33,252$29,736$26,551$23,675$21,085$11,949
12 years$30,170$26,690$23,564$20,766$18,272$9,732
13 years$27,563$24,120$21,053$18,334$15,934$7,965
14 years$25,331$21,924$18,916$16,274$13,967$6,543
15 years$23,398$20,028$17,078$14,514$12,298$5,393
16 years$21,709$18,375$15,484$12,996$10,869$4,455
17 years$20,220$16,923$14,090$11,676$9,637$3,689
18 years$18,897$15,638$12,862$10,523$8,569$3,059
19 years$17,716$14,493$11,775$9,508$7,638$2,540
20 years$16,654$13,467$10,806$8,612$6,822$2,112
21 years$15,694$12,544$9,940$7,816$6,105$1,758
22 years$14,822$11,710$9,161$7,106$5,472$1,464
23 years$14,028$10,952$8,459$6,472$4,912$1,220
24 years$13,301$10,261$7,823$5,903$4,415$1,017
25 years$12,633$9,630$7,245$5,391$3,973$849
26 years$12,017$9,050$6,720$4,929$3,579$708
27 years$11,448$8,517$6,240$4,512$3,227$591
28 years$10,921$8,026$5,801$4,134$2,911$494
29 years$10,431$7,571$5,398$3,791$2,629$412
30 years$9,974$7,150$5,028$3,479$2,375$344
31 years$9,548$6,760$4,688$3,195$2,148$288
32 years$9,149$6,396$4,374$2,936$1,943$240
33 years$8,775$6,057$4,084$2,700$1,758$201
34 years$8,424$5,741$3,816$2,484$1,592$168
35 years$8,094$5,445$3,567$2,287$1,442$140
36 years$7,782$5,168$3,337$2,106$1,306$117
37 years$7,489$4,908$3,123$1,941$1,184$98
38 years$7,211$4,665$2,925$1,789$1,073$82
39 years$6,948$4,436$2,740$1,649$973$69
40 years$6,699$4,220$2,569$1,521$883$57
41 years$6,463$4,017$2,408$1,404$801$48
42 years$6,238$3,826$2,259$1,295$727$40
43 years$6,025$3,645$2,120$1,196$660$33
44 years$5,822$3,475$1,990$1,104$599$28
45 years$5,628$3,314$1,869$1,020$544$23
46 years$5,444$3,161$1,755$942$493$20
47 years$5,268$3,017$1,649$870$448$16
48 years$5,099$2,880$1,549$804$407$14
49 years$4,938$2,750$1,456$743$370$11
50 years$4,784$2,627$1,369$687$336$10

Sample Expected Returns by Investment Class

How long will my money last in retirement? Person retiring at age 54 starting with $4,900,000, adding $4,991 every year, while hoping to spend $39,675 every year in retirement. These numbers increase with inflation.
Reality usually performs much different than the expected returns. This uses historical averages, but anything can happen. In general, riskier investments have greater returns on average, but more volatility in the short term.
Age Total: 100% Stocks Total: 100% Bonds Total: 100% Cash Total: 67/6/27 Blend
53$4,900,000$4,900,000$4,900,000$4,900,000
54$5,404,948$5,145,248$5,069,298$5,728,680
55$5,914,039$5,355,151$5,196,906$6,157,186
56$6,473,727$5,574,010$5,327,459$6,620,738
57$7,089,132$5,802,222$5,461,013$7,126,858
58$7,765,894$6,040,200$5,597,627$7,679,751
59$8,510,225$6,288,381$5,737,358$8,284,050
60$9,328,974$6,547,216$5,880,265$8,944,854
61$10,229,681$6,817,182$6,026,406$9,667,779
62$11,220,659$7,098,775$6,175,841$10,459,009
63$12,311,065$7,392,513$6,328,630$11,325,355
64$13,510,988$7,698,941$6,484,834$12,274,317
65$14,831,545$8,018,625$6,644,512$13,314,157
66$16,284,986$8,352,161$6,807,726$14,453,973
67$17,884,808$8,700,170$6,974,538$15,703,787
68$19,645,881$9,063,302$7,145,009$17,074,638
69$21,584,595$9,442,237$7,319,200$18,578,685
70$23,719,004$9,837,687$7,497,174$20,229,322
71$26,069,006$10,250,397$7,678,992$22,041,304
72$28,656,524$10,681,146$7,864,718$24,030,884
73$31,505,715$11,130,749$8,054,412$26,215,969
74$34,643,201$11,600,058$8,248,137$28,616,283
75$38,098,313$12,089,966$8,445,955$31,253,557
76$41,903,373$12,601,407$8,647,928$34,151,734
77$46,094,000$13,135,358$8,854,116$37,337,188
78$50,709,439$13,692,842$9,064,580$40,838,980
79$55,792,940$14,274,929$9,279,381$44,689,126
80$61,392,158$14,882,740$9,498,579$48,922,899
81$67,559,610$15,517,445$9,722,233$53,579,165
82$74,353,163$16,180,273$9,950,401$58,700,744
83$81,836,586$16,872,507$10,183,140$64,334,816
84$90,080,150$17,595,492$10,420,507$70,533,364
85$99,161,289$18,350,635$10,662,558$77,353,666
86$109,165,332$19,139,408$10,909,345$84,858,832
87$120,186,310$19,963,352$11,160,922$93,118,401
88$132,327,840$20,824,083$11,417,339$102,208,993
89$145,704,106$21,723,289$11,678,646$112,215,034
90$160,440,934$22,662,739$11,944,890$123,229,554
91$176,676,981$23,644,286$12,216,116$135,355,055
92$194,565,043$24,669,866$12,492,366$148,704,490
93$214,273,499$25,741,511$12,773,682$163,402,317
94$235,987,897$26,861,345$13,060,101$179,585,678
95$259,912,705$28,031,594$13,351,657$197,405,692
96$286,273,246$29,254,588$13,648,383$217,028,879
97$315,317,820$30,532,766$13,950,307$238,638,729
98$347,320,049$31,868,682$14,257,453$262,437,438
99$382,581,459$33,265,013$14,569,843$288,647,809
100$421,434,329$34,724,559$14,887,493$317,515,357