Can I retire at age 54 with 1,280,000?

Use the below retirement simulation to view the chances of a successful retirement.
Confused? Try the simple retirement calculator
About Your Retirement ?
Current Age
Retirement Age
Current Savings $
Annual Deposits $
Annual Withdrawals $
Stock market crash:
Portfolio ?
% in Stocks:
% in Bonds:
% in Cash:
Modify Stock Returns:
0%
Modify Bond Returns:
0%
Modify Cash Returns:
0%
Modify Inflation:
0%
How much money do I need to retire?

This retirement calculator runs simulations based on past data from the S&P 500, 10 Year Treasury Bond, 3 month T-Bill, and US inflation. For each year of each simulation, a random return and inflation amount is chosen.

How to use: Enter your current age and the age when you retire. Then enter your current savings, the amount that you can save annually before you retire, and the amount that you plan to withdraw after retirement. Your annual deposits and withdrawals take inflation into account. For example, if you need $50,000 to live on in retirement using today's dollars, we will automatically take into account the cost of living for your retirement years. The same is true for your annual deposits. Next, decide if you'd like to simulate a stock market crash.

In the portfolio section, choose the makeup of your portfolio with stocks, bonds, and cash. Cash assumes that your money is stored in a savings account. You can then alter the future returns and inflation. For example, if the market has historically returned about 10%, but you think the future will be worse, modify the stock returns by -3%, and the future returns will average out to 7%. Investment fees can also lower stock market returns. Many index funds and ETFs offer extremely low fees and expenses.

Many people receive income in retirement, such as social security, pension plans, part time jobs, annuities, and other benefits. This would allow you to take out smaller distributions every year. Please note that taxes must also be considered, but are not used in this simulation. A 401k, Roth IRA, and Traditional IRA are taxed differently than a standard investment account, as are dividends.

Note: This assumes that the future is at least somewhat like the past. In reality, anything could happen. The Soviet Union collapsed, Japan's Nikkei Index is still well below its 1989 peak. Numerous other markets have changed drastically and never recovered. However, this online tool is helpful in retirement planning and estimating how much you might need for retirement, especially those hoping to retire early. We recommend receiving advice from a financial planner.

Want to retire with $1,280,000?

Depending on your rate of return and investment timeframe, you'll need to save this amount every month.
2%4%6%8%10%13.7%
1 years$105,701$104,760$103,841$102,944$102,069$100,502
2 years$52,327$51,353$50,408$49,493$48,604$47,030
3 years$34,538$33,560$32,618$31,710$30,837$29,303
4 years$25,646$24,670$23,737$22,846$21,993$20,512
5 years$20,311$19,341$18,421$17,548$16,719$15,295
6 years$16,756$15,794$14,887$14,033$13,229$11,864
7 years$14,218$13,264$12,371$11,537$10,759$9,453
8 years$12,315$11,369$10,492$9,678$8,925$7,679
9 years$10,836$9,899$9,036$8,244$7,516$6,328
10 years$9,653$8,726$7,878$7,106$6,404$5,274
11 years$8,686$7,768$6,936$6,185$5,508$4,434
12 years$7,881$6,972$6,155$5,425$4,773$3,754
13 years$7,200$6,301$5,499$4,789$4,162$3,197
14 years$6,617$5,727$4,941$4,251$3,649$2,735
15 years$6,112$5,232$4,461$3,791$3,212$2,349
16 years$5,671$4,800$4,045$3,395$2,839$2,024
17 years$5,282$4,421$3,681$3,050$2,517$1,750
18 years$4,936$4,085$3,360$2,749$2,238$1,516
19 years$4,628$3,786$3,076$2,484$1,995$1,315
20 years$4,350$3,518$2,823$2,250$1,782$1,144
21 years$4,100$3,277$2,596$2,042$1,595$996
22 years$3,872$3,059$2,393$1,856$1,429$868
23 years$3,664$2,861$2,210$1,691$1,283$758
24 years$3,475$2,680$2,043$1,542$1,153$662
25 years$3,300$2,515$1,893$1,408$1,038$579
26 years$3,139$2,364$1,755$1,288$935$507
27 years$2,991$2,225$1,630$1,179$843$444
28 years$2,853$2,097$1,515$1,080$761$389
29 years$2,725$1,978$1,410$990$687$341
30 years$2,606$1,868$1,313$909$621$299
31 years$2,494$1,766$1,225$835$561$262
32 years$2,390$1,671$1,142$767$507$230
33 years$2,292$1,582$1,067$705$459$202
34 years$2,201$1,500$997$649$416$177
35 years$2,114$1,422$932$597$377$156
36 years$2,033$1,350$872$550$341$137
37 years$1,956$1,282$816$507$309$120
38 years$1,884$1,219$764$467$280$106
39 years$1,815$1,159$716$431$254$93
40 years$1,750$1,102$671$397$231$81
41 years$1,688$1,049$629$367$209$72
42 years$1,630$999$590$338$190$63
43 years$1,574$952$554$312$172$55
44 years$1,521$908$520$288$156$49
45 years$1,470$866$488$266$142$43
46 years$1,422$826$458$246$129$38
47 years$1,376$788$431$227$117$33
48 years$1,332$752$405$210$106$29
49 years$1,290$718$380$194$97$26
50 years$1,250$686$358$179$88$22

Sample Expected Returns by Investment Class

How long will my money last in retirement? Person retiring at age 54 starting with $1,280,000, adding $3,531 every year, while hoping to spend $24,502 every year in retirement. These numbers increase with inflation.
Reality usually performs much different than the expected returns. This uses historical averages, but anything can happen. In general, riskier investments have greater returns on average, but more volatility in the short term.
Age Total: 100% Stocks Total: 100% Bonds Total: 100% Cash Total: 53/41/6 Blend
53$1,280,000$1,280,000$1,280,000$1,280,000
54$1,414,202$1,346,362$1,326,522$1,487,016
55$1,532,381$1,386,264$1,344,891$1,576,603
56$1,661,793$1,427,300$1,363,053$1,671,025
57$1,803,557$1,469,499$1,380,978$1,773,150
58$1,958,908$1,512,893$1,398,628$1,883,708
59$2,129,204$1,557,511$1,415,969$2,003,505
60$2,315,939$1,603,386$1,432,961$2,133,424
61$2,520,763$1,650,551$1,449,564$2,274,441
62$2,745,490$1,699,036$1,465,733$2,427,627
63$2,992,119$1,748,878$1,481,424$2,594,160
64$3,262,851$1,800,109$1,496,588$2,775,338
65$3,560,113$1,852,765$1,511,174$2,972,590
66$3,886,575$1,906,881$1,525,129$3,187,489
67$4,245,181$1,962,494$1,538,396$3,421,766
68$4,639,174$2,019,641$1,550,917$3,677,327
69$5,072,125$2,078,358$1,562,628$3,956,270
70$5,547,969$2,138,686$1,573,464$4,260,906
71$6,071,042$2,200,661$1,583,354$4,593,780
72$6,646,119$2,264,324$1,592,228$4,957,694
73$7,278,463$2,329,716$1,600,007$5,355,733
74$7,973,871$2,396,877$1,606,612$5,791,297
75$8,738,730$2,465,848$1,611,958$6,268,129
76$9,580,078$2,536,672$1,615,956$6,790,351
77$10,505,668$2,609,391$1,618,512$7,362,505
78$11,524,044$2,684,048$1,619,530$7,989,594
79$12,644,618$2,760,688$1,618,906$8,677,128
80$13,877,761$2,839,355$1,616,532$9,431,176
81$15,234,903$2,920,093$1,612,296$10,258,426
82$16,728,633$3,002,948$1,606,078$11,166,244
83$18,372,827$3,087,966$1,597,755$12,162,745
84$20,182,772$3,175,193$1,587,196$13,256,871
85$22,175,312$3,264,675$1,574,265$14,458,471
86$24,369,010$3,356,459$1,558,818$15,778,399
87$26,784,316$3,450,593$1,540,706$17,228,609
88$29,443,769$3,547,125$1,519,772$18,822,277
89$32,372,200$3,646,101$1,495,851$20,573,915
90$35,596,974$3,747,569$1,468,772$22,499,518
91$39,148,243$3,851,578$1,438,354$24,616,705
92$43,059,234$3,958,175$1,404,409$26,944,890
93$47,366,559$4,067,409$1,366,739$29,505,468
94$52,110,563$4,179,326$1,325,139$32,322,009
95$57,335,702$4,293,975$1,279,393$35,420,486
96$63,090,966$4,411,402$1,229,275$38,829,518
97$69,430,338$4,531,655$1,174,549$42,580,640
98$76,413,305$4,654,778$1,114,969$46,708,602
99$84,105,418$4,780,819$1,050,277$51,251,692
100$92,578,913$4,909,821$980,203$56,252,103