Can I retire at age 51 with 868,000?

Use the below retirement simulation to view the chances of a successful retirement.
Confused? Try the simple retirement calculator
About Your Retirement ?
Current Age
Retirement Age
Current Savings $
Annual Deposits $
Annual Withdrawals $
Stock market crash:
Portfolio ?
% in Stocks:
% in Bonds:
% in Cash:
Modify Stock Returns:
0%
Modify Bond Returns:
0%
Modify Cash Returns:
0%
Modify Inflation:
0%
How much money do I need to retire?

This retirement calculator runs simulations based on past data from the S&P 500, 10 Year Treasury Bond, 3 month T-Bill, and US inflation. For each year of each simulation, a random return and inflation amount is chosen.

How to use: Enter your current age and the age when you retire. Then enter your current savings, the amount that you can save annually before you retire, and the amount that you plan to withdraw after retirement. Your annual deposits and withdrawals take inflation into account. For example, if you need $50,000 to live on in retirement using today's dollars, we will automatically take into account the cost of living for your retirement years. The same is true for your annual deposits. Next, decide if you'd like to simulate a stock market crash.

In the portfolio section, choose the makeup of your portfolio with stocks, bonds, and cash. Cash assumes that your money is stored in a savings account. You can then alter the future returns and inflation. For example, if the market has historically returned about 10%, but you think the future will be worse, modify the stock returns by -3%, and the future returns will average out to 7%. Investment fees can also lower stock market returns. Many index funds and ETFs offer extremely low fees and expenses.

Many people receive income in retirement, such as social security, pension plans, part time jobs, annuities, and other benefits. This would allow you to take out smaller distributions every year. Please note that taxes must also be considered, but are not used in this simulation. A 401k, Roth IRA, and Traditional IRA are taxed differently than a standard investment account, as are dividends.

Note: This assumes that the future is at least somewhat like the past. In reality, anything could happen. The Soviet Union collapsed, Japan's Nikkei Index is still well below its 1989 peak. Numerous other markets have changed drastically and never recovered. However, this online tool is helpful in retirement planning and estimating how much you might need for retirement, especially those hoping to retire early. We recommend receiving advice from a financial planner.

Want to retire with $868,000?

Depending on your rate of return and investment timeframe, you'll need to save this amount every month.
2%4%6%8%10%19.2%
1 years$71,679$71,040$70,417$69,809$69,216$66,654
2 years$35,484$34,824$34,183$33,562$32,960$30,408
3 years$23,421$22,758$22,119$21,504$20,911$18,449
4 years$17,391$16,729$16,097$15,492$14,914$12,561
5 years$13,774$13,116$12,492$11,899$11,337$9,099
6 years$11,363$10,710$10,095$9,516$8,971$6,849
7 years$9,642$8,994$8,389$7,824$7,296$5,290
8 years$8,351$7,710$7,115$6,563$6,052$4,161
9 years$7,348$6,713$6,128$5,590$5,097$3,317
10 years$6,546$5,917$5,342$4,819$4,343$2,671
11 years$5,890$5,268$4,703$4,194$3,735$2,168
12 years$5,344$4,728$4,174$3,679$3,237$1,770
13 years$4,883$4,273$3,729$3,248$2,823$1,453
14 years$4,487$3,884$3,351$2,883$2,474$1,197
15 years$4,145$3,548$3,025$2,571$2,178$989
16 years$3,846$3,255$2,743$2,302$1,925$820
17 years$3,582$2,998$2,496$2,068$1,707$681
18 years$3,348$2,770$2,278$1,864$1,518$566
19 years$3,138$2,567$2,086$1,684$1,353$472
20 years$2,950$2,386$1,914$1,525$1,208$393
21 years$2,780$2,222$1,761$1,384$1,081$328
22 years$2,626$2,074$1,623$1,259$969$274
23 years$2,485$1,940$1,498$1,146$870$229
24 years$2,356$1,818$1,386$1,046$782$192
25 years$2,238$1,706$1,283$955$704$161
26 years$2,129$1,603$1,190$873$634$134
27 years$2,028$1,509$1,105$799$572$113
28 years$1,935$1,422$1,028$732$516$94
29 years$1,848$1,341$956$671$466$79
30 years$1,767$1,267$891$616$421$66
31 years$1,691$1,197$830$566$380$56
32 years$1,621$1,133$775$520$344$47
33 years$1,554$1,073$723$478$311$39
34 years$1,492$1,017$676$440$282$33
35 years$1,434$965$632$405$255$27
36 years$1,379$915$591$373$231$23
37 years$1,327$870$553$344$210$19
38 years$1,277$826$518$317$190$16
39 years$1,231$786$485$292$172$14
40 years$1,187$748$455$269$156$11
41 years$1,145$712$427$249$142$10
42 years$1,105$678$400$229$129$8
43 years$1,067$646$376$212$117$7
44 years$1,031$616$353$196$106$6
45 years$997$587$331$181$96$5
46 years$964$560$311$167$87$4
47 years$933$534$292$154$79$3
48 years$903$510$274$142$72$3
49 years$875$487$258$132$65$2
50 years$847$465$243$122$59$2

Sample Expected Returns by Investment Class

How long will my money last in retirement? Person retiring at age 51 starting with $868,000, adding $6,355 every year, while hoping to spend $44,995 every year in retirement. These numbers increase with inflation.
Reality usually performs much different than the expected returns. This uses historical averages, but anything can happen. In general, riskier investments have greater returns on average, but more volatility in the short term.
Age Total: 100% Stocks Total: 100% Bonds Total: 100% Cash Total: 51/28/21 Blend
50$868,000$868,000$868,000$868,000
51$963,091$917,087$903,633$1,006,286
52$1,013,452$914,150$886,031$1,033,868
53$1,067,442$909,561$866,330$1,058,698
54$1,125,383$903,192$844,414$1,084,748
55$1,187,630$894,906$820,160$1,112,150
56$1,254,570$884,558$793,438$1,141,054
57$1,326,632$871,997$764,113$1,171,624
58$1,404,282$857,059$732,045$1,204,046
59$1,488,037$839,573$697,086$1,238,527
60$1,578,461$819,356$659,083$1,275,297
61$1,676,175$796,216$617,873$1,314,614
62$1,781,863$769,948$573,290$1,356,767
63$1,896,274$740,337$525,156$1,402,074
64$2,020,234$707,154$473,289$1,450,893
65$2,154,650$670,156$417,497$1,503,621
66$2,300,520$629,089$357,578$1,560,700
67$2,458,940$583,682$293,324$1,622,622
68$2,631,118$533,648$224,517$1,689,935
69$2,818,381$478,686$150,927$1,763,246
70$3,022,190$418,476$72,317$1,843,230
71$3,244,152$352,680$0$1,930,639
72$3,486,036$280,941$0$2,028,898
73$3,749,788$202,883$0$2,153,800
74$4,037,549$118,108$0$2,290,210
75$4,351,679$26,195$0$2,439,331
76$4,694,773$0$0$2,602,489
77$5,069,688$0$0$2,803,737
78$5,479,569$0$0$3,032,664
79$5,927,881$0$0$3,283,145
80$6,418,436$0$0$3,557,321
81$6,955,435$0$0$3,857,551
82$7,543,500$0$0$4,186,432
83$8,187,724$0$0$4,546,824
84$8,893,715$0$0$4,941,877
85$9,667,648$0$0$5,375,062
86$10,516,326$0$0$5,850,198
87$11,447,241$0$0$6,371,494
88$12,468,643$0$0$6,943,587
89$13,589,623$0$0$7,571,583
90$14,820,192$0$0$8,261,106
91$16,171,378$0$0$9,018,354
92$17,655,330$0$0$9,850,151
93$19,285,432$0$0$10,764,017
94$21,076,425$0$0$11,768,235
95$23,044,552$0$0$12,871,932
96$25,207,705$0$0$14,085,161
97$27,585,597$0$0$15,418,998
98$30,199,945$0$0$16,885,647
99$33,074,676$0$0$18,498,553
100$36,236,152$0$0$20,272,528