Can I retire at age 48 with 1,870,000?

Use the below retirement simulation to view the chances of a successful retirement.
Confused? Try the simple retirement calculator
About Your Retirement ?
Current Age
Retirement Age
Current Savings $
Annual Deposits $
Annual Withdrawals $
Stock market crash:
Portfolio ?
% in Stocks:
% in Bonds:
% in Cash:
Modify Stock Returns:
0%
Modify Bond Returns:
0%
Modify Cash Returns:
0%
Modify Inflation:
0%
How much money do I need to retire?

This retirement calculator runs simulations based on past data from the S&P 500, 10 Year Treasury Bond, 3 month T-Bill, and US inflation. For each year of each simulation, a random return and inflation amount is chosen.

How to use: Enter your current age and the age when you retire. Then enter your current savings, the amount that you can save annually before you retire, and the amount that you plan to withdraw after retirement. Your annual deposits and withdrawals take inflation into account. For example, if you need $50,000 to live on in retirement using today's dollars, we will automatically take into account the cost of living for your retirement years. The same is true for your annual deposits. Next, decide if you'd like to simulate a stock market crash.

In the portfolio section, choose the makeup of your portfolio with stocks, bonds, and cash. Cash assumes that your money is stored in a savings account. You can then alter the future returns and inflation. For example, if the market has historically returned about 10%, but you think the future will be worse, modify the stock returns by -3%, and the future returns will average out to 7%. Investment fees can also lower stock market returns. Many index funds and ETFs offer extremely low fees and expenses.

Many people receive income in retirement, such as social security, pension plans, part time jobs, annuities, and other benefits. This would allow you to take out smaller distributions every year. Please note that taxes must also be considered, but are not used in this simulation. A 401k, Roth IRA, and Traditional IRA are taxed differently than a standard investment account, as are dividends.

Note: This assumes that the future is at least somewhat like the past. In reality, anything could happen. The Soviet Union collapsed, Japan's Nikkei Index is still well below its 1989 peak. Numerous other markets have changed drastically and never recovered. However, this online tool is helpful in retirement planning and estimating how much you might need for retirement, especially those hoping to retire early. We recommend receiving advice from a financial planner.

Want to retire with $1,870,000?

Depending on your rate of return and investment timeframe, you'll need to save this amount every month.
2%4%6%8%10%12.3%
1 years$154,423$153,047$151,705$150,395$149,116$147,682
2 years$76,447$75,023$73,643$72,306$71,008$69,563
3 years$50,458$49,028$47,652$46,327$45,050$43,640
4 years$37,467$36,041$34,679$33,376$32,130$30,765
5 years$29,674$28,257$26,912$25,636$24,425$23,108
6 years$24,480$23,074$21,749$20,501$19,327$18,061
7 years$20,772$19,377$18,073$16,855$15,718$14,503
8 years$17,992$16,610$15,328$14,139$13,039$11,876
9 years$15,831$14,462$13,202$12,044$10,981$9,869
10 years$14,103$12,747$11,510$10,382$9,356$8,294
11 years$12,690$11,348$10,133$9,035$8,047$7,034
12 years$11,514$10,186$8,993$7,925$6,973$6,009
13 years$10,519$9,205$8,034$6,997$6,081$5,164
14 years$9,667$8,367$7,219$6,211$5,330$4,459
15 years$8,930$7,643$6,518$5,539$4,693$3,867
16 years$8,285$7,013$5,909$4,960$4,148$3,365
17 years$7,716$6,458$5,377$4,456$3,678$2,937
18 years$7,212$5,968$4,909$4,016$3,270$2,570
19 years$6,761$5,531$4,494$3,629$2,915$2,253
20 years$6,356$5,140$4,124$3,286$2,604$1,980
21 years$5,989$4,787$3,793$2,983$2,330$1,742
22 years$5,657$4,469$3,496$2,712$2,088$1,535
23 years$5,354$4,180$3,228$2,470$1,875$1,354
24 years$5,076$3,916$2,985$2,253$1,685$1,196
25 years$4,821$3,675$2,765$2,057$1,516$1,058
26 years$4,586$3,454$2,564$1,881$1,366$936
27 years$4,369$3,251$2,381$1,722$1,231$829
28 years$4,168$3,063$2,214$1,577$1,111$734
29 years$3,981$2,890$2,060$1,447$1,003$651
30 years$3,807$2,729$1,919$1,328$907$577
31 years$3,644$2,580$1,789$1,219$820$512
32 years$3,492$2,441$1,669$1,121$741$455
33 years$3,349$2,312$1,558$1,030$671$404
34 years$3,215$2,191$1,456$948$607$359
35 years$3,089$2,078$1,361$873$550$319
36 years$2,970$1,972$1,274$804$499$283
37 years$2,858$1,873$1,192$741$452$252
38 years$2,752$1,780$1,116$683$410$224
39 years$2,652$1,693$1,046$629$371$199
40 years$2,557$1,611$980$581$337$177
41 years$2,466$1,533$919$536$306$158
42 years$2,381$1,460$862$494$277$140
43 years$2,299$1,391$809$456$252$125
44 years$2,222$1,326$759$421$228$111
45 years$2,148$1,265$713$389$207$99
46 years$2,078$1,206$670$359$188$88
47 years$2,010$1,151$629$332$171$78
48 years$1,946$1,099$591$307$155$70
49 years$1,885$1,049$556$284$141$62
50 years$1,826$1,002$523$262$128$55

Sample Expected Returns by Investment Class

How long will my money last in retirement? Person retiring at age 48 starting with $1,870,000, adding $4,119 every year, while hoping to spend $35,070 every year in retirement. These numbers increase with inflation.
Reality usually performs much different than the expected returns. This uses historical averages, but anything can happen. In general, riskier investments have greater returns on average, but more volatility in the short term.
Age Total: 100% Stocks Total: 100% Bonds Total: 100% Cash Total: 51/38/11 Blend
47$1,870,000$1,870,000$1,870,000$1,870,000
48$2,064,989$1,965,879$1,936,894$2,164,084
49$2,238,303$2,024,893$1,964,465$2,291,238
50$2,428,121$2,085,623$1,991,785$2,425,320
51$2,636,087$2,148,116$2,018,808$2,570,275
52$2,864,015$2,212,421$2,045,486$2,727,134
53$3,113,902$2,278,587$2,071,767$2,897,034
54$3,387,947$2,346,665$2,097,598$3,081,225
55$3,688,572$2,416,705$2,122,921$3,281,083
56$4,018,444$2,488,762$2,147,678$3,498,121
57$4,380,504$2,562,890$2,171,803$3,734,005
58$4,777,986$2,639,143$2,195,230$3,990,570
59$5,214,459$2,717,579$2,217,888$4,269,834
60$5,693,849$2,798,255$2,239,702$4,574,019
61$6,220,483$2,881,231$2,260,593$4,905,571
62$6,799,128$2,966,568$2,280,480$5,267,186
63$7,435,037$3,054,327$2,299,273$5,661,829
64$8,133,993$3,144,571$2,316,881$6,092,767
65$8,902,371$3,237,366$2,333,208$6,563,596
66$9,747,194$3,332,778$2,348,151$7,078,278
67$10,676,197$3,430,873$2,361,603$7,641,176
68$11,697,904$3,531,721$2,373,452$8,257,096
69$12,821,706$3,635,391$2,383,578$8,931,329
70$14,057,950$3,741,956$2,391,859$9,669,706
71$15,418,037$3,851,488$2,398,162$10,478,647
72$16,914,528$3,964,061$2,402,351$11,365,228
73$18,561,261$4,079,752$2,404,282$12,337,240
74$20,373,488$4,198,638$2,403,803$13,403,267
75$22,368,009$4,320,796$2,400,755$14,572,766
76$24,563,338$4,446,308$2,394,974$15,856,155
77$26,979,876$4,575,254$2,386,282$17,264,912
78$29,640,100$4,707,718$2,374,499$18,811,682
79$32,568,777$4,843,783$2,359,432$20,510,397
80$35,793,199$4,983,535$2,340,879$22,376,407
81$39,343,438$5,127,061$2,318,631$24,426,623
82$43,252,630$5,274,448$2,292,467$26,679,680
83$47,557,288$5,425,787$2,262,155$29,156,108
84$52,297,648$5,581,167$2,227,453$31,878,529
85$57,518,045$5,740,680$2,188,109$34,871,867
86$63,267,331$5,904,420$2,143,858$38,163,587
87$69,599,343$6,072,480$2,094,420$41,783,951
88$76,573,400$6,244,955$2,039,507$45,766,304
89$84,254,870$6,421,942$1,978,815$50,147,388
90$92,715,787$6,603,537$1,912,025$54,967,689
91$102,035,526$6,789,839$1,838,806$60,271,819
92$112,301,553$6,980,945$1,758,810$66,108,937
93$123,610,255$7,176,954$1,671,674$72,533,213
94$136,067,844$7,377,968$1,577,018$79,604,336
95$149,791,361$7,584,086$1,474,445$87,388,082
96$164,909,782$7,795,408$1,363,541$95,956,930
97$181,565,233$8,012,036$1,243,872$105,390,749
98$199,914,330$8,234,069$1,114,986$115,777,550
99$220,129,664$8,461,610$976,409$127,214,320
100$242,401,419$8,694,759$827,649$139,807,930