Can I retire at age 40 with 948,000?

Use the below retirement simulation to view the chances of a successful retirement.
Confused? Try the simple retirement calculator
About Your Retirement ?
Current Age
Retirement Age
Current Savings $
Annual Deposits $
Annual Withdrawals $
Stock market crash:
Portfolio ?
% in Stocks:
% in Bonds:
% in Cash:
Modify Stock Returns:
0%
Modify Bond Returns:
0%
Modify Cash Returns:
0%
Modify Inflation:
0%
How much money do I need to retire?

This retirement calculator runs simulations based on past data from the S&P 500, 10 Year Treasury Bond, 3 month T-Bill, and US inflation. For each year of each simulation, a random return and inflation amount is chosen.

How to use: Enter your current age and the age when you retire. Then enter your current savings, the amount that you can save annually before you retire, and the amount that you plan to withdraw after retirement. Your annual deposits and withdrawals take inflation into account. For example, if you need $50,000 to live on in retirement using today's dollars, we will automatically take into account the cost of living for your retirement years. The same is true for your annual deposits. Next, decide if you'd like to simulate a stock market crash.

In the portfolio section, choose the makeup of your portfolio with stocks, bonds, and cash. Cash assumes that your money is stored in a savings account. You can then alter the future returns and inflation. For example, if the market has historically returned about 10%, but you think the future will be worse, modify the stock returns by -3%, and the future returns will average out to 7%. Investment fees can also lower stock market returns. Many index funds and ETFs offer extremely low fees and expenses.

Many people receive income in retirement, such as social security, pension plans, part time jobs, annuities, and other benefits. This would allow you to take out smaller distributions every year. Please note that taxes must also be considered, but are not used in this simulation. A 401k, Roth IRA, and Traditional IRA are taxed differently than a standard investment account, as are dividends.

Note: This assumes that the future is at least somewhat like the past. In reality, anything could happen. The Soviet Union collapsed, Japan's Nikkei Index is still well below its 1989 peak. Numerous other markets have changed drastically and never recovered. However, this online tool is helpful in retirement planning and estimating how much you might need for retirement, especially those hoping to retire early. We recommend receiving advice from a financial planner.

Want to retire with $948,000?

Depending on your rate of return and investment timeframe, you'll need to save this amount every month.
2%4%6%8%10%16.8%
1 years$78,285$77,588$76,907$76,243$75,595$73,499
2 years$38,755$38,033$37,334$36,655$35,998$33,902
3 years$25,580$24,855$24,157$23,485$22,838$20,808
4 years$18,994$18,271$17,580$16,920$16,288$14,340
5 years$15,043$14,325$13,643$12,996$12,382$10,520
6 years$12,410$11,697$11,026$10,393$9,798$8,023
7 years$10,530$9,823$9,162$8,545$7,968$6,282
8 years$9,121$8,420$7,770$7,168$6,610$5,012
9 years$8,025$7,331$6,693$6,106$5,567$4,054
10 years$7,149$6,462$5,835$5,263$4,743$3,315
11 years$6,433$5,753$5,137$4,580$4,079$2,732
12 years$5,837$5,164$4,559$4,018$3,535$2,267
13 years$5,333$4,666$4,073$3,547$3,083$1,891
14 years$4,901$4,242$3,660$3,149$2,702$1,584
15 years$4,527$3,875$3,304$2,808$2,379$1,332
16 years$4,200$3,555$2,996$2,514$2,103$1,123
17 years$3,912$3,274$2,726$2,259$1,864$949
18 years$3,656$3,025$2,488$2,036$1,658$804
19 years$3,427$2,804$2,278$1,840$1,478$682
20 years$3,222$2,606$2,091$1,666$1,320$579
21 years$3,036$2,427$1,923$1,512$1,181$492
22 years$2,868$2,265$1,772$1,375$1,059$419
23 years$2,714$2,119$1,636$1,252$950$357
24 years$2,573$1,985$1,513$1,142$854$304
25 years$2,444$1,863$1,402$1,043$769$260
26 years$2,325$1,751$1,300$954$692$222
27 years$2,215$1,648$1,207$873$624$189
28 years$2,113$1,553$1,122$800$563$162
29 years$2,018$1,465$1,044$733$509$138
30 years$1,930$1,383$973$673$460$118
31 years$1,847$1,308$907$618$415$101
32 years$1,770$1,237$846$568$376$86
33 years$1,698$1,172$790$522$340$74
34 years$1,630$1,111$738$481$308$63
35 years$1,566$1,053$690$442$279$54
36 years$1,506$1,000$646$407$253$46
37 years$1,449$950$604$375$229$40
38 years$1,395$902$566$346$208$34
39 years$1,344$858$530$319$188$29
40 years$1,296$816$497$294$171$25
41 years$1,250$777$466$272$155$21
42 years$1,207$740$437$251$141$18
43 years$1,166$705$410$231$128$16
44 years$1,126$672$385$214$116$13
45 years$1,089$641$362$197$105$11
46 years$1,053$612$340$182$95$10
47 years$1,019$584$319$168$87$8
48 years$987$557$300$156$79$7
49 years$955$532$282$144$72$6
50 years$926$508$265$133$65$5

Sample Expected Returns by Investment Class

How long will my money last in retirement? Person retiring at age 40 starting with $948,000, adding $4,051 every year, while hoping to spend $23,321 every year in retirement. These numbers increase with inflation.
Reality usually performs much different than the expected returns. This uses historical averages, but anything can happen. In general, riskier investments have greater returns on average, but more volatility in the short term.
Age Total: 100% Stocks Total: 100% Bonds Total: 100% Cash Total: 42/45/13 Blend
39$948,000$948,000$948,000$948,000
40$1,048,875$998,631$983,937$1,088,772
41$1,131,046$1,022,750$992,085$1,141,293
42$1,220,818$1,047,270$999,725$1,195,498
43$1,318,940$1,072,185$1,006,815$1,253,682
44$1,426,239$1,097,489$1,013,310$1,316,219
45$1,543,625$1,123,175$1,019,165$1,383,522
46$1,672,099$1,149,235$1,024,332$1,456,042
47$1,812,765$1,175,660$1,028,758$1,534,279
48$1,966,838$1,202,437$1,032,392$1,618,783
49$2,135,654$1,229,556$1,035,176$1,710,161
50$2,320,688$1,257,001$1,037,052$1,809,079
51$2,523,562$1,284,758$1,037,957$1,916,274
52$2,746,064$1,312,810$1,037,827$2,032,554
53$2,990,161$1,341,136$1,036,593$2,158,814
54$3,258,023$1,369,717$1,034,184$2,296,037
55$3,552,036$1,398,528$1,030,524$2,445,308
56$3,874,832$1,427,544$1,025,535$2,607,821
57$4,229,309$1,456,738$1,019,134$2,784,894
58$4,618,659$1,486,078$1,011,235$2,977,979
59$5,046,397$1,515,532$1,001,748$3,188,674
60$5,516,400$1,545,063$990,576$3,418,743
61$6,032,933$1,574,631$977,621$3,670,131
62$6,600,700$1,604,196$962,779$3,944,978
63$7,224,880$1,633,709$945,940$4,245,647
64$7,911,179$1,663,123$926,991$4,574,740
65$8,665,886$1,692,383$905,812$4,935,125
66$9,495,928$1,721,431$882,278$5,329,966
67$10,408,937$1,750,205$856,258$5,762,748
68$11,413,322$1,778,639$827,617$6,237,312
69$12,518,348$1,806,660$796,210$6,757,896
70$13,734,225$1,834,192$761,888$7,329,166
71$15,072,200$1,861,151$724,495$7,956,269
72$16,544,666$1,887,449$683,867$8,644,878
73$18,165,280$1,912,992$639,834$9,401,246
74$19,949,087$1,937,677$592,218$10,232,265
75$21,912,668$1,961,397$540,831$11,145,532
76$24,074,290$1,984,036$485,479$12,149,423
77$26,454,084$2,005,470$425,958$13,253,167
78$29,074,229$2,025,566$362,057$14,466,942
79$31,959,167$2,044,185$293,552$15,801,962
80$35,135,828$2,061,177$220,212$17,270,591
81$38,633,889$2,076,381$141,796$18,886,456
82$42,486,050$2,089,627$58,050$20,664,579
83$46,728,343$2,100,735$0$22,621,515
84$51,400,475$2,109,512$0$24,779,860
85$56,546,198$2,115,753$0$27,164,260
86$62,213,725$2,119,240$0$29,788,865
87$68,456,185$2,119,743$0$32,678,157
88$75,332,120$2,117,015$0$35,859,115
89$82,906,043$2,110,795$0$39,361,475
90$91,249,042$2,100,807$0$43,218,008
91$100,439,455$2,086,757$0$47,464,834
92$110,563,605$2,068,333$0$52,141,758
93$121,716,617$2,045,205$0$57,292,653
94$134,003,314$2,017,023$0$62,965,870
95$147,539,211$1,983,416$0$69,214,697
96$162,451,597$1,943,990$0$76,097,863
97$178,880,743$1,898,329$0$83,680,094
98$196,981,223$1,845,991$0$92,032,725
99$216,923,374$1,786,510$0$101,234,374
100$238,894,901$1,719,392$0$111,371,685