Can I retire at age 40 with 631,000?

Use the below retirement simulation to view the chances of a successful retirement.
About Your Retirement ?
Current Age
Retirement Age
Current Savings $
Annual Deposits $
Annual Withdrawals $
Stock market crash:
Portfolio ?
% in Stocks:
% in Bonds:
% in Cash:
Modify Stock Returns:
0%
Modify Bond Returns:
0%
Modify Cash Returns:
0%
Modify Inflation:
0%
How much money do I need to retire?

This retirement calculator runs simulations based on past data from the S&P 500, 10 Year Treasury Bond, 3 month T-Bill, and US inflation. For each year of each simulation, a random return and inflation amount is chosen.

How to use: Enter your current age and the age when you retire. Then enter your current savings, the amount that you can save annually before you retire, and the amount that you plan to withdraw after retirement. Your annual deposits and withdrawals take inflation into account. For example, if you need $50,000 to live on in retirement using today's dollars, we will automatically take into account the cost of living for your retirement years. The same is true for your annual deposits. Next, decide if you'd like to simulate a stock market crash.

In the portfolio section, choose the makeup of your portfolio with stocks, bonds, and cash. Cash assumes that your money is stored in a savings account. You can then alter the future returns and inflation. For example, if the market has historically returned about 10%, but you think the future will be worse, modify the stock returns by -3%, and the future returns will average out to 7%. Investment fees can also lower stock market returns. Many index funds and ETFs offer extremely low fees and expenses.

Many people receive income in retirement, such as social security, pension plans, part time jobs, annuities, and other benefits. This would allow you to take out smaller distributions every year. Please note that taxes must also be considered, but are not used in this simulation. A 401k, Roth IRA, and Traditional IRA are taxed differently than a standard investment account, as are dividends.

Note: This assumes that the future is at least somewhat like the past. In reality, anything could happen. The Soviet Union collapsed, Japan's Nikkei Index is still well below its 1989 peak. Numerous other markets have changed drastically and never recovered. However, this online tool is helpful in retirement planning and estimating how much you might need for retirement, especially those hoping to retire early. We recommend receiving advice from a financial planner.

Want to retire with $631,000?

Depending on your rate of return and investment timeframe, you'll need to save this amount every month.
2%4%6%8%10%15.4%
1 years$52,107$51,643$51,190$50,748$50,317$49,200
2 years$25,796$25,315$24,850$24,398$23,960$22,841
3 years$17,026$16,544$16,079$15,632$15,201$14,115
4 years$12,642$12,161$11,702$11,262$10,842$9,796
5 years$10,013$9,535$9,081$8,650$8,242$7,240
6 years$8,260$7,786$7,339$6,918$6,521$5,564
7 years$7,009$6,539$6,099$5,687$5,304$4,391
8 years$6,071$5,605$5,172$4,771$4,400$3,532
9 years$5,342$4,880$4,455$4,064$3,705$2,881
10 years$4,759$4,301$3,884$3,503$3,157$2,376
11 years$4,282$3,829$3,419$3,049$2,715$1,976
12 years$3,885$3,437$3,034$2,674$2,353$1,655
13 years$3,549$3,106$2,711$2,361$2,052$1,394
14 years$3,262$2,823$2,436$2,096$1,799$1,179
15 years$3,013$2,579$2,199$1,869$1,584$1,001
16 years$2,796$2,366$1,994$1,674$1,400$852
17 years$2,604$2,179$1,814$1,504$1,241$727
18 years$2,434$2,014$1,656$1,355$1,103$622
19 years$2,281$1,866$1,516$1,224$984$533
20 years$2,145$1,734$1,392$1,109$879$458
21 years$2,021$1,615$1,280$1,006$786$394
22 years$1,909$1,508$1,180$915$705$339
23 years$1,806$1,410$1,089$833$633$292
24 years$1,713$1,321$1,007$760$569$252
25 years$1,627$1,240$933$694$512$217
26 years$1,548$1,165$865$635$461$187
27 years$1,474$1,097$804$581$415$162
28 years$1,406$1,034$747$532$375$140
29 years$1,343$975$695$488$339$121
30 years$1,284$921$648$448$306$105
31 years$1,230$870$604$411$277$90
32 years$1,178$824$563$378$250$78
33 years$1,130$780$526$348$226$68
34 years$1,085$739$491$320$205$59
35 years$1,042$701$459$295$186$51
36 years$1,002$666$430$271$168$44
37 years$964$632$402$250$152$38
38 years$929$601$377$230$138$33
39 years$895$571$353$212$125$29
40 years$863$543$331$196$114$25
41 years$832$517$310$181$103$21
42 years$803$493$291$167$94$19
43 years$776$469$273$154$85$16
44 years$750$447$256$142$77$14
45 years$725$427$241$131$70$12
46 years$701$407$226$121$64$10
47 years$678$388$212$112$58$9
48 years$657$371$200$104$52$8
49 years$636$354$188$96$48$7
50 years$616$338$176$88$43$6

Sample Expected Returns by Investment Class

How long will my money last in retirement? Person retiring at age 40 starting with $631,000, adding $3,064 every year, while hoping to spend $35,890 every year in retirement. These numbers increase with inflation.
Reality usually performs much different than the expected returns. This uses historical averages, but anything can happen. In general, riskier investments have greater returns on average, but more volatility in the short term.
Age Total: 100% Stocks Total: 100% Bonds Total: 100% Cash Total: 34/44/22 Blend
39$631,000$631,000$631,000$631,000
40$698,523$665,080$655,299$717,491
41$731,585$659,482$639,065$726,234
42$766,817$652,407$621,084$732,157
43$804,402$643,744$601,260$737,813
44$844,541$633,378$579,492$743,199
45$887,454$621,183$555,675$748,318
46$933,382$607,029$529,698$753,174
47$982,590$590,776$501,446$757,775
48$1,035,369$572,279$470,798$762,136
49$1,092,036$551,380$437,630$766,276
50$1,152,942$527,916$401,809$770,220
51$1,218,470$501,712$363,197$773,999
52$1,289,042$472,583$321,652$777,655
53$1,365,120$440,336$277,023$781,236
54$1,447,213$404,763$229,154$784,802
55$1,535,879$365,647$177,881$788,426
56$1,631,732$322,757$123,034$792,191
57$1,735,447$275,850$64,433$796,198
58$1,847,765$224,669$1,894$800,565
59$1,969,501$168,942$0$805,426
60$2,101,552$108,382$0$826,162
61$2,244,904$42,687$0$849,195
62$2,400,642$0$0$874,340
63$2,569,957$0$0$915,668
64$2,754,163$0$0$983,199
65$2,954,703$0$0$1,056,802
66$3,173,165$0$0$1,137,072
67$3,411,299$0$0$1,224,663
68$3,671,029$0$0$1,320,294
69$3,954,472$0$0$1,424,756
70$4,263,960$0$0$1,538,923
71$4,602,059$0$0$1,663,753
72$4,971,593$0$0$1,800,303
73$5,375,674$0$0$1,949,736
74$5,817,727$0$0$2,113,335
75$6,301,521$0$0$2,292,510
76$6,831,209$0$0$2,488,814
77$7,411,364$0$0$2,703,960
78$8,047,021$0$0$2,939,830
79$8,743,725$0$0$3,198,502
80$9,507,585$0$0$3,482,261
81$10,345,326$0$0$3,793,624
82$11,264,357$0$0$4,135,366
83$12,272,840$0$0$4,510,542
84$13,379,763$0$0$4,922,516
85$14,595,027$0$0$5,374,997
86$15,929,541$0$0$5,872,069
87$17,395,317$0$0$6,418,229
88$19,005,594$0$0$7,018,434
89$20,774,951$0$0$7,678,146
90$22,719,452$0$0$8,403,378
91$24,856,794$0$0$9,200,760
92$27,206,474$0$0$10,077,591
93$29,789,971$0$0$11,041,918
94$32,630,951$0$0$12,102,603
95$35,755,486$0$0$13,269,412
96$39,192,303$0$0$14,553,104
97$42,973,053$0$0$15,965,534
98$47,132,609$0$0$17,519,764
99$51,709,393$0$0$19,230,187
100$56,745,740$0$0$21,112,661