Can I retire at age 40 with 531,000?

Use the below retirement simulation to view the chances of a successful retirement.
About Your Retirement ?
Current Age
Retirement Age
Current Savings $
Annual Deposits $
Annual Withdrawals $
Stock market crash:
Portfolio ?
% in Stocks:
% in Bonds:
% in Cash:
Modify Stock Returns:
0%
Modify Bond Returns:
0%
Modify Cash Returns:
0%
Modify Inflation:
0%
How much money do I need to retire?

This retirement calculator runs simulations based on past data from the S&P 500, 10 Year Treasury Bond, 3 month T-Bill, and US inflation. For each year of each simulation, a random return and inflation amount is chosen.

How to use: Enter your current age and the age when you retire. Then enter your current savings, the amount that you can save annually before you retire, and the amount that you plan to withdraw after retirement. Your annual deposits and withdrawals take inflation into account. For example, if you need $50,000 to live on in retirement using today's dollars, we will automatically take into account the cost of living for your retirement years. The same is true for your annual deposits. Next, decide if you'd like to simulate a stock market crash.

In the portfolio section, choose the makeup of your portfolio with stocks, bonds, and cash. Cash assumes that your money is stored in a savings account. You can then alter the future returns and inflation. For example, if the market has historically returned about 10%, but you think the future will be worse, modify the stock returns by -3%, and the future returns will average out to 7%. Investment fees can also lower stock market returns. Many index funds and ETFs offer extremely low fees and expenses.

Many people receive income in retirement, such as social security, pension plans, part time jobs, annuities, and other benefits. This would allow you to take out smaller distributions every year. Please note that taxes must also be considered, but are not used in this simulation. A 401k, Roth IRA, and Traditional IRA are taxed differently than a standard investment account, as are dividends.

Note: This assumes that the future is at least somewhat like the past. In reality, anything could happen. The Soviet Union collapsed, Japan's Nikkei Index is still well below its 1989 peak. Numerous other markets have changed drastically and never recovered. However, this online tool is helpful in retirement planning and estimating how much you might need for retirement, especially those hoping to retire early. We recommend receiving advice from a financial planner.

Want to retire with $531,000?

Depending on your rate of return and investment timeframe, you'll need to save this amount every month.
2%4%6%8%10%14.5%
1 years$43,849$43,459$43,078$42,706$42,343$41,556
2 years$21,708$21,303$20,912$20,532$20,163$19,373
3 years$14,328$13,922$13,531$13,155$12,792$12,024
4 years$10,639$10,234$9,847$9,477$9,124$8,383
5 years$8,426$8,024$7,642$7,279$6,936$6,225
6 years$6,951$6,552$6,176$5,821$5,488$4,808
7 years$5,898$5,502$5,132$4,786$4,463$3,813
8 years$5,109$4,716$4,352$4,015$3,703$3,083
9 years$4,495$4,107$3,749$3,420$3,118$2,529
10 years$4,005$3,620$3,268$2,948$2,657$2,097
11 years$3,603$3,222$2,877$2,566$2,285$1,754
12 years$3,269$2,892$2,554$2,250$1,980$1,478
13 years$2,987$2,614$2,281$1,987$1,727$1,252
14 years$2,745$2,376$2,050$1,764$1,514$1,065
15 years$2,536$2,170$1,851$1,573$1,333$910
16 years$2,353$1,991$1,678$1,408$1,178$780
17 years$2,191$1,834$1,527$1,265$1,044$670
18 years$2,048$1,695$1,394$1,140$929$577
19 years$1,920$1,571$1,276$1,030$828$498
20 years$1,805$1,459$1,171$933$739$430
21 years$1,701$1,359$1,077$847$662$373
22 years$1,606$1,269$993$770$593$323
23 years$1,520$1,187$917$701$532$280
24 years$1,441$1,112$848$640$478$243
25 years$1,369$1,044$785$584$431$211
26 years$1,302$981$728$534$388$184
27 years$1,241$923$676$489$350$160
28 years$1,183$870$629$448$315$139
29 years$1,130$821$585$411$285$121
30 years$1,081$775$545$377$257$106
31 years$1,035$733$508$346$233$92
32 years$991$693$474$318$211$80
33 years$951$656$443$293$191$70
34 years$913$622$413$269$172$61
35 years$877$590$387$248$156$53
36 years$843$560$362$228$142$46
37 years$812$532$338$210$128$40
38 years$781$506$317$194$116$35
39 years$753$481$297$179$105$31
40 years$726$457$278$165$96$27
41 years$700$435$261$152$87$23
42 years$676$415$245$140$79$20
43 years$653$395$230$130$71$18
44 years$631$377$216$120$65$16
45 years$610$359$202$110$59$14
46 years$590$343$190$102$53$12
47 years$571$327$179$94$49$10
48 years$553$312$168$87$44$9
49 years$535$298$158$81$40$8
50 years$518$285$148$74$36$7

Sample Expected Returns by Investment Class

How long will my money last in retirement? Person retiring at age 40 starting with $531,000, adding $5,457 every year, while hoping to spend $56,508 every year in retirement. These numbers increase with inflation.
Reality usually performs much different than the expected returns. This uses historical averages, but anything can happen. In general, riskier investments have greater returns on average, but more volatility in the short term.
Age Total: 100% Stocks Total: 100% Bonds Total: 100% Cash Total: 34/37/29 Blend
39$531,000$531,000$531,000$531,000
40$590,791$562,648$554,417$605,553
41$590,927$530,094$512,866$584,627
42$589,184$494,050$468,029$556,664
43$585,309$454,287$419,737$525,427
44$579,024$410,560$367,811$490,664
45$570,019$362,613$312,068$452,103
46$557,952$310,171$252,313$409,452
47$542,442$252,949$188,344$362,397
48$523,069$190,641$119,952$310,599
49$499,367$122,928$46,915$253,694
50$470,820$49,468$0$191,287
51$436,858$0$0$132,555
52$396,848$0$0$95,809
53$350,094$0$0$76,625
54$295,823$0$0$54,572
55$233,182$0$0$29,330
56$161,229$0$0$542
57$78,920$0$0$0
58$0$0$0$0
59$0$0$0$0
60$0$0$0$0
61$0$0$0$0
62$0$0$0$0
63$0$0$0$0
64$0$0$0$0
65$0$0$0$0
66$0$0$0$0
67$0$0$0$0
68$0$0$0$0
69$0$0$0$0
70$0$0$0$0
71$0$0$0$0
72$0$0$0$0
73$0$0$0$0
74$0$0$0$0
75$0$0$0$0
76$0$0$0$0
77$0$0$0$0
78$0$0$0$0
79$0$0$0$0
80$0$0$0$0
81$0$0$0$0
82$0$0$0$0
83$0$0$0$0
84$0$0$0$0
85$0$0$0$0
86$0$0$0$0
87$0$0$0$0
88$0$0$0$0
89$0$0$0$0
90$0$0$0$0
91$0$0$0$0
92$0$0$0$0
93$0$0$0$0
94$0$0$0$0
95$0$0$0$0
96$0$0$0$0
97$0$0$0$0
98$0$0$0$0
99$0$0$0$0
100$0$0$0$0